Malthus and Moore

Here's a nice puzzle for you: Is there any lesson that we could learn from the Malthusian Trap and apply that to Moore's Law? Or is that a bridge too far? Well, let's look at a couple of arguments. Thomas MalthusAt the very beginning of the 19th century, the political economist Thomas Malthus wrote "An Essay on the Principle of Population". Based … Continue reading Malthus and Moore →

Different scales, different purposes, all intertwined

Complex adaptive systems exists at different scales, both spatial and temporal. As Lance Gunderson and Crawford Holling described it, those different scales form of structure of nested adaptive cycles. To make this idea a bit more tangible, let's take weather and climate: we are all exposed to the very local patterns every minute we are outdoors; we take into … Continue reading Different scales, different purposes, all intertwined →

The downsides of a front–loop focus

The depiction of the adaptive cycle as the lying eight has many compelling arguments in its favour. And still it is far from intuitive. While the pessimists have an inclination to look for the downsides in life, and thus can more easily reconcile their view of the world with the existence of the adaptive cycle with … Continue reading The downsides of a front–loop focus →

Between potential and connectedness

So far I've described the adaptive cycles only in very elementary terms. Time to add a level of detail so that this concept can gain more contour and depth. Let's take the lying eight as the starting point. Without a doubt that is the most common depiction of adaptive cycles that you can find on the … Continue reading Between potential and connectedness →

Adaptive cycles and innovation – first contact

What is it that adaptive cycles could tell us about innovation? Which new perspective could they give us? Could they actually serve as a common backdrop, a "unifying field theory" that covers all dimensions of innovation? That could incorporate the relevant aspects of technology, business, and society? I'm curious to learn more about the ups and … Continue reading Adaptive cycles and innovation – first contact →